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In variationist linguistics, the usual way of
proceeding is to first identify some variable phenomenon in the
data and then attempt to model the quantitative patterns in the
corpus as accurately as possible. This still leaves a more general
question: what kinds of quantitative patterns are predicted to be
possible and what kinds of quantitative patterns are excluded by
the underlying theory? In this talk, I note that Optimality Theory
predicts two kinds of quantitative patterns: those that are independent
of rankings and could not be otherwise, and those that depend on
rankings and are predicted to vary from one case to the next. I
illustrate this distinction from the metrical phonology of Finnish.
In Finnish, metrical pressures yield a range of segmental effects,
including lenition, fortition, and phonotactic gaps. I show that
a small number of metrical constraints suffice to derive the observed
quantitative patterns, independently of rankings. I then show that
the same metrical problems are resolved differently in different
morphological constructions, suggesting that these constructions
involve different rankings.
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